disinto/predictor/predictor-run.sh
Claude f0c3c773ff
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fix: tech-debt: sweep cron-isms from code comments, helpers, lib, and public site copy (#548)
- Rename acquire_cron_lock → acquire_run_lock in lib/formula-session.sh
  and all five *-run.sh call sites
- Update all *-run.sh file headers: "Cron wrapper" → "Polling-loop wrapper"
- Rewrite docs/updating-factory.md: replace crontab check with pgrep,
  replace "Crontab empty after restart" section with polling-loop equivalent
- Update docs/EVAL-MCP-SERVER.md to reflect polling-loop reality
- Update lib/guard.sh, lib/AGENTS.md, lib/ci-setup.sh comments
- Update formulas/*.toml comments (cron → polling loop)
- Update dev/dev-poll.sh usage comment
- Update tests/smoke-init.sh to handle compose vs bare-metal scheduling
- Update .woodpecker/agent-smoke.sh comments
- Update site HTML: architecture.html, quickstart.html, index.html
- Clarify _install_cron_impl is bare-metal only (compose uses polling loop)
- Keep site/collect-engagement.sh and site/collect-metrics.sh cron refs
  (genuinely cron-driven on the website host, separate from factory loop)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-10 08:54:11 +00:00

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#!/usr/bin/env bash
# =============================================================================
# predictor-run.sh — Polling-loop wrapper: predictor execution via SDK + formula
#
# Synchronous bash loop using claude -p (one-shot invocation).
# No tmux sessions, no phase files — the bash script IS the state machine.
#
# Flow:
# 1. Guards: run lock, memory check
# 2. Load formula (formulas/run-predictor.toml)
# 3. Context: AGENTS.md, ops:RESOURCES.md, VISION.md, structural graph
# 4. agent_run(worktree, prompt) → Claude analyzes, writes to ops repo
#
# Usage:
# predictor-run.sh [projects/disinto.toml] # project config (default: disinto)
#
# Called by: entrypoint.sh polling loop (daily)
# =============================================================================
set -euo pipefail
SCRIPT_DIR="$(cd "$(dirname "$0")" && pwd)"
FACTORY_ROOT="$(dirname "$SCRIPT_DIR")"
# Accept project config from argument; default to disinto
export PROJECT_TOML="${1:-$FACTORY_ROOT/projects/disinto.toml}"
# shellcheck source=../lib/env.sh
source "$FACTORY_ROOT/lib/env.sh"
# Use predictor-bot's own Forgejo identity (#747)
FORGE_TOKEN="${FORGE_PREDICTOR_TOKEN:-${FORGE_TOKEN}}"
# shellcheck source=../lib/formula-session.sh
source "$FACTORY_ROOT/lib/formula-session.sh"
# shellcheck source=../lib/worktree.sh
source "$FACTORY_ROOT/lib/worktree.sh"
# shellcheck source=../lib/guard.sh
source "$FACTORY_ROOT/lib/guard.sh"
# shellcheck source=../lib/agent-sdk.sh
source "$FACTORY_ROOT/lib/agent-sdk.sh"
LOG_FILE="${DISINTO_LOG_DIR}/predictor/predictor.log"
# shellcheck disable=SC2034 # consumed by agent-sdk.sh
LOGFILE="$LOG_FILE"
# shellcheck disable=SC2034 # consumed by agent-sdk.sh
SID_FILE="/tmp/predictor-session-${PROJECT_NAME}.sid"
SCRATCH_FILE="/tmp/predictor-${PROJECT_NAME}-scratch.md"
WORKTREE="/tmp/${PROJECT_NAME}-predictor-run"
# Override LOG_AGENT for consistent agent identification
# shellcheck disable=SC2034 # consumed by agent-sdk.sh and env.sh log()
LOG_AGENT="predictor"
# Override log() to append to predictor-specific log file
# shellcheck disable=SC2034
log() {
local agent="${LOG_AGENT:-predictor}"
printf '[%s] %s: %s\n' "$(date -u '+%Y-%m-%dT%H:%M:%SZ')" "$agent" "$*" >> "$LOG_FILE"
}
# ── Guards ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
check_active predictor
acquire_run_lock "/tmp/predictor-run.lock"
memory_guard 2000
log "--- Predictor run start ---"
# ── Resolve forge remote for git operations ─────────────────────────────
resolve_forge_remote
# ── Resolve agent identity for .profile repo ────────────────────────────
resolve_agent_identity || true
# ── Load formula + context ───────────────────────────────────────────────
load_formula_or_profile "predictor" "$FACTORY_ROOT/formulas/run-predictor.toml" || exit 1
build_context_block AGENTS.md ops:RESOURCES.md VISION.md ops:prerequisites.md
# ── Build structural analysis graph ──────────────────────────────────────
build_graph_section
# ── Prepare .profile context (lessons injection) ─────────────────────────
formula_prepare_profile_context
# ── Read scratch file (compaction survival) ───────────────────────────────
SCRATCH_CONTEXT=$(read_scratch_context "$SCRATCH_FILE")
SCRATCH_INSTRUCTION=$(build_scratch_instruction "$SCRATCH_FILE")
# ── Build prompt ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
build_sdk_prompt_footer
export CLAUDE_MODEL="sonnet"
PROMPT="You are the prediction agent (goblin) for ${FORGE_REPO}. Work through the formula below.
Your role: abstract adversary. Find the project's biggest weakness, challenge
planner claims, and generate evidence. Explore when uncertain (file a prediction),
exploit when confident (file a prediction AND dispatch a formula via an action issue).
Your prediction history IS your memory — review it to decide where to focus.
The planner (adult) will triage every prediction before acting.
You MUST NOT emit feature work or implementation issues — only predictions
challenging claims, exposing gaps, and surfacing risks.
Use WebSearch for external signal scanning — be targeted (project dependencies
and tools only, not general news). Limit to 3 web searches per run.
## Project context
${CONTEXT_BLOCK}$(formula_lessons_block)
${GRAPH_SECTION}
${SCRATCH_CONTEXT:+${SCRATCH_CONTEXT}
}
## Formula
${FORMULA_CONTENT}
${SCRATCH_INSTRUCTION}
${PROMPT_FOOTER}"
# ── Create worktree ──────────────────────────────────────────────────────
formula_worktree_setup "$WORKTREE"
# ── Run agent ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
agent_run --worktree "$WORKTREE" "$PROMPT"
log "agent_run complete"
# Write journal entry post-session
profile_write_journal "predictor-run" "Predictor run $(date -u +%Y-%m-%d)" "complete" "" || true
rm -f "$SCRATCH_FILE"
log "--- Predictor run done ---"