disinto/predictor/AGENTS.md
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Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-23 06:09:19 +00:00

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<!-- last-reviewed: 9ec0c0221032979bd4440b9fd67f2072f1de01be -->
# Predictor Agent
**Role**: Risk oracle and opportunity spotter (the "goblin"). Runs a 3-step
formula (preflight → collect-signals → analyze-and-predict) via interactive
tmux Claude session (sonnet). Collects three categories of signals:
1. **Health signals** — CI pipeline trends (Woodpecker), stale issues, agent
health (tmux sessions + logs), resource patterns (RAM, disk, load, containers)
2. **Outcome signals** — output freshness (formula journals/artifacts), capacity
utilization (idle agents vs dispatchable backlog), throughput (closed issues,
merged PRs, churn detection)
3. **External signals** — dependency security advisories, upstream breaking
changes, deprecation notices, ecosystem shifts (via targeted web search)
Files up to 5 `prediction/unreviewed` issues for the Planner to triage.
Predictions cover both "things going wrong" and "opportunities being missed".
The predictor MUST NOT emit feature work — only observations about health,
outcomes, and external risks/opportunities.
**Trigger**: `predictor-run.sh` runs daily at 06:00 UTC via cron (1h before
the planner at 07:00). Guarded by PID lock (`/tmp/predictor-run.lock`) and
memory check (skips if available RAM < 2000 MB).
**Key files**:
- `predictor/predictor-run.sh` Cron wrapper + orchestrator: lock, memory guard,
sources disinto project config, builds prompt with formula + Codeberg API
reference, creates tmux session (sonnet), monitors phase file, handles crash
recovery via `run_formula_and_monitor`
- `formulas/run-predictor.toml` Execution spec: three steps (preflight,
collect-signals, analyze-and-predict) with `needs` dependencies. Claude
collects signals and files prediction issues in a single interactive session
**Environment variables consumed**:
- `CODEBERG_TOKEN`, `CODEBERG_REPO`, `CODEBERG_API`, `PROJECT_NAME`, `PROJECT_REPO_ROOT`
- `PRIMARY_BRANCH`, `CLAUDE_MODEL` (set to sonnet by predictor-run.sh)
- `WOODPECKER_TOKEN`, `WOODPECKER_SERVER` CI pipeline trend queries (optional; skipped if unset)
- `MATRIX_TOKEN`, `MATRIX_ROOM_ID`, `MATRIX_HOMESERVER` Notifications (optional)
**Lifecycle**: predictor-run.sh (daily 06:00 cron) lock + memory guard
load formula + context create tmux session Claude collects signals
(health: CI trends, stale issues, agent health, resources; outcomes: output
freshness, capacity utilization, throughput; external: dependency advisories,
ecosystem changes via web search) dedup against existing open predictions
file `prediction/unreviewed` issues `PHASE:done`.
The planner's Phase 1 later triages these predictions.